Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003606 0.003781 0.003960 0.004157 0.004367 0.004585 0.004829
2025-02-02 0.003375 0.003648 0.003938 0.004271 0.004644 0.005051 0.005529
2025-02-09 0.003138 0.003457 0.003807 0.004220 0.004697 0.005235 0.005890
2025-02-16 0.002984 0.003339 0.003736 0.004216 0.004786 0.005445 0.006274
2025-02-23 0.002847 0.003227 0.003660 0.004194 0.004841 0.005608 0.006600
2025-03-02 0.002766 0.003173 0.003644 0.004235 0.004968 0.005857 0.007035
2025-03-09 0.002655 0.003075 0.003569 0.004199 0.004993 0.005975 0.007307
2025-03-16 0.002555 0.002986 0.003498 0.004161 0.005009 0.006078 0.007560
2025-03-23 0.002450 0.002885 0.003408 0.004093 0.004983 0.006122 0.007731
2025-03-30 0.002357 0.002795 0.003326 0.004031 0.004958 0.006164 0.007898
2025-04-06 0.002303 0.002752 0.003302 0.004039 0.005024 0.006326 0.008236
2025-04-13 0.002185 0.002622 0.003163 0.003894 0.004879 0.006194 0.008150
2025-04-20 0.002141 0.002588 0.003146 0.003910 0.004953 0.006371 0.008522
2025-04-27 0.002136 0.002603 0.003194 0.004014 0.005153 0.006732 0.009186
2025-05-04 0.002070 0.002537 0.003133 0.003967 0.005140 0.006788 0.009394
2025-05-11 0.002026 0.002498 0.003105 0.003964 0.005187 0.006931 0.009742
2025-05-18 0.001977 0.002451 0.003065 0.003943 0.005207 0.007034 0.010032
2025-05-25 0.001954 0.002437 0.003069 0.003981 0.005313 0.007269 0.010545
2025-06-01 0.001905 0.002388 0.003023 0.003948 0.005311 0.007340 0.010792
2025-06-08 0.001858 0.002340 0.002977 0.003912 0.005305 0.007402 0.011027
2025-06-15 0.001805 0.002280 0.002914 0.003850 0.005256 0.007394 0.011142
2025-06-22 0.001755 0.002226 0.002856 0.003793 0.005212 0.007391 0.011264
2025-06-29 0.001729 0.002203 0.002843 0.003801 0.005266 0.007548 0.011674